Seems my blog was hacked in such a way to dob me into one of our government departments as a purveyor of online gambling.  I lodged an anonymous complaint, seeing this as a potential ruse for the usual suspects to gather any number of details about me.  Anyway the complaint appears to have worked and the government department, perhaps seeing that there is no commercial arrangements on this site whatsoever, have set my blog free.  Good work people.  Good to see that some public servants are actually working and not just doing the crossword.

While I was having trouble on my own blog I decided to infiltrate Catallaxy.  I managed to save some of my comments so I may post some of them here after I get back from my excellent outdoor quarantine lock-down gym.

 

More Later.

Feelthebern and JC have their hands out again.

 

Full RBA summary.

• Cutting its target cash rate to 0.25 per cent to encourage banks to further drop borrowing rates for businesses and households;
• Commencing purchases of Australian government bonds to maintain a 3 year government bond yield of only 0.25 per cent, and to also support the liquidity of that market, which Governor Lowe said has become “impaired”. This will reduce the cost of longer-term, fixed-rate (as opposed to floating-rate) business and household loans that partly price off the 3 year government bond yield;
• Offering banks a longer-term funding facility of at least $90 billion on a 3 year basis at an ultra-cheap cost of just 0.25 per cent;
• Working with the AOFM to launch an AOFM-managed $15 billion direct investment program in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and asset-backed securities (ABS). I have suggested at least $50 billion. This will further reduce the cost of borrowing for small business, households, and individuals via the AOFM funding highly rated and securitised pools of these assets at a cost, or spread, that is normalised. That is, not at current costs, which are enormously distorted by the virus-induced volatility.
• Continue to offer very cheap secured term funding to banks of up to 6 months or more at a cost of about 30 basis points (or 0.3 per cent) above the cash rate via the RBA’s existing repurchase (or repo) arrangements.

Here are some of my conversations with a welfare queen:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This one was written pretty much straight after the murder of the Soleimani peace delegation.   I have the date down as ninth of January.  I’ll change that date now because I don’t know how to put it up front.  This mass murder by the Americans annihilated more than one successful Jew-ISIS terrorist fighter.

I’ve brought this one to the front because I want you to think about things.  The hanging of black men in the old South? Were the black men always innocent? No I think they were probably mostly guilty,  and a big chunk of the not guilty may have been somewhat culpable.  But they all deserved a fair trial surely?

The Jew Leo Frank got more than one fair trial,  and each trial found him guilty,  and it was a blessed thing when the white men hung him high.

But there had to be so many times when everyone calmed down a little bit and upon contemplation they realised that “he didn’t deserve that?”  Or …… “Shit that black boy fucked up but it was Cletis that set him off”  or something of this sort.

Well this isn’t one of these times. This is more like crucifying a saint.  Such a huge fuckup.  Simply unbelievable that the deep state could have induced the President to screw up so badly.  If you murder terrorist fighters heading towards a peace conference, how can world leaders ever meet again in confidence?

The extreme nature of this fuckup, that the deep state foisted on Trump, is probably not recognised by one man in a million.  So much bad karma must flow from this as the decades roll by.

Think of the damage so far.  Iran retaliated and injured scores of American soldiers.  Oh you didn’t hear about that? Oh isn’t that funny? Well what else?  The Jews brought down a Ukrainian plane full of Iranian students.  They couldn’t have used this kill switch diplomacy, without the Trump murders.  Oh you thought it was an Iranian error didn’t you?  No it was a forced error.  The transponder was turned off.  Sooner or later people will track the planes itinerary back to some airport where Jews are running security.

There is no chance  WHATSOEVER about this being a coincidental error.  There is no chance of this at all, given any understanding of probability. And there will be hell to pay.

There has been the attack on a plane full of American soldiers in Afghanistan.  Which is not murder and not terrorism as it constitutes valid retaliation.  Surprise surprise? You didn’t hear about that one either?

Here is the original post:

The Black Prince

The White Prince

The Dark Knight

The White Knight

The problem with killing good people is you can’t bring them back when you need them. 

Its not so clear as it sounds though.  Tyson should be coming it at about 270 or a bit below. Deontay might come in around 220 or a bit higher.  Almost 50 pounds the difference.  To me I think the heavyweights have been coming in way too heavy.  The only exceptions being Wilder, and Anthony Joshua just in his last fight.   Maybe you’d have to make another exception with Tyson Fury, since he’s the only fellow that can be elusive when flat-footed.  Plus Tyson has had mental health problems.  Its probably important for him to be healthy generally.  Being super-skinny might not be right for him.

Tyson has lost all that extra flab around his waist.  He’s got more muscle and less fat then before.  This is a fellow who beat Klitchco carrying a spare tire.

Now how will the fight go? Tyson is a bit nutty he’s determined to go right at Wilder.  He’s actually going to try to knock out Wilder out in the second round.  I don’t think this is like Ali telegraphing that he’s going to dance and then lying against the ropes.  I think he’s actually going to try and do it.  So the first two rounds will be very intense.  Tyson should win both of them.

Wilder seems to be anticipating this sort of thing.  Such little footage as we have has him working on his hooks.  Now Anthony Ruiz is known for his unbelievable hooks.  Anthony should be down at 230 so he can go side to side with these taller guys … but I digress. Wilders not known for his hooks.  He’s known for his killer right that comes from quite a long way out for everyone else, but almost at mid-range for Fury.

Wilders not known for his hooks but they may be looking better than before in preparation for a lot of inside fighting.  Why would two fighters, not known for incredible inside fighting start trying to punch on close up?  Well its because they will be both in the same boat.  I heard a story about this UFC fight where both fighters were famed grapplers.  So you would expect them to take it to the ground right away.  But since they were both famed grapplers they just punched on.

Now consider this.  Wilders team might have played iterations on this story and figured if the tall guy was going in for the kill they could get all traditional on him.  Deontay outreaches everyone else.  Deontay at 81 and The Gypsy at 83.  So Deontay hasn’t had to set everyone up for the big right hand by way of hooks to the body.  Which is the normal traditional way of things.  If Tyson goes for the knockout and gets real close, then Deontay displays a heretofore unknown facility with hard hooks to the body, thats a great setup for the big right hand.

Tyson has got to worry about the big right hand.  But he’s also got to worry about his right eye opening up again.  He’s got a fellow called “Stitch Duran” in his corner but he’s gong to be really worried about protecting that eye.  This may mean fighting Southpaw stance a lot of the time and going back to orthodox, when in trouble or when seeking the knockdown.  Otto opened up his right eye with a left fist, but fighting Southpaw.  It might seem paradoxical to be protecting a right eye, having it forward like that, with a right jab.  But a right jab can be a good shield.

Now since the first two rounds will be so intense, and Tyson will be 19 stone, there will have to be a slowing down in the pace after that.  Tyson will have to regain some gas, and so he’ll return to a kind of elusiveness and energy-saving.  This is where everything gets to be so unpredictable.  Coming from my point of view,  where I almost always think lighter is better.  This is where my analysis might break down because carrying 19 stone its going to be hard to find the energy to finish Deontay off.  If he can finish Deontay off it will be after a bunch of energy-saving rounds.

About now I better address the implausibility of a knock-out given what people have seen from Tyson in the last few fights.  The most elusive fellow in the division with some of the weakest punches ever.  Almost as elusive as 66-67 Ali but only punching as hard as Ali.  Which is not very hard at all for someone who fights flat-footed.

I am somewhat relying on the attitude of Big John Fury here.  He didn’t want the first Wilder fight.  He reckons the young fellow was as weak as a chicken and still recovering from the difficulties involved with losing ten stone.  Other information coming out of the camp is suggesting that Tyson Fury is now hitting hard.  Really hard.  John Fury reckons that on the day that Tyson fought Wilder,  Lennox Lewis at his best could have cleaned up Tyson pretty easily.   An interesting admission.  One which I concur with,  since I think of Lennox as a fantastically complete fighter,  and the right weight and height. But Big John reckons the youngster is much better now.

Its so hard to imagine Deontay Wilder ever getting knocked out.  But still he’s only human.  Even though I’m picking Tyson to win, you can see that by my analysis, there is a few holes in that narrative.  Tyson having to drag 19 stone around the ring for that long.

How could things go the other way?  I mentioned the close in body hook scenario.  Also consider the shock of fighting Tyson the last time where Deontay had never met someone so hard to hit? Deontay confused and throwing haymakers at empty air? I think he was completely bamboozled.  Now he’s had a chance to try and work around that and adjust.  So the capacity to adjust, to this magical gypsy evasiveness, has to be what Deontay has been working on in the interim.

The other thing that could go wrong is the idea if you are fighting southpaw to protect your eye, your liver is vulnerable to someone whose great with the hooks.  Heretofore Wilder hasn’t been all that much of a threat in that department.  But he’s been working on it.

I’ve said that Tyson will win and I’ve outlined the parameters in such a way as you may not be convinced.  You may take my observations and extrapolations seriously and yet by your own estimations divine from this many opportunities for Deontay to knock the Gypsy Ninja clean out.

So while I’m picking Fury here, one can only really predict that the first two rounds will be intense. And after that the crystal ball clouds up.  Its going to be an interesting fight. Some people are picking a boring fight.

 

 

 

Not me.

I gave what I think to be a short answer as to why that water goes round and around Antarctica.  But here is me framing the question that needs to be answered:

I think a cheap and nasty study should be engaged upon to see if the gigantic power of the Antarctic Circumpolar current can be explained easily by wind friction alone. I would doubt it myself. I would think that what we ought to have instead, if relying on wind friction, ought to be a fairly shallow weak sort of affair. Moving around and around but only feebly so. Its a bit like those super-rotating cloud banks on Venus that lack a good conventional explanation. Not much coriolis forces to work with on Venus. Convection remains an upward, randomised swirling force and cannot be press-ganged into explaining persistent powerful horizontal movement. People try to make that convection work in their minds eye for these sorts of things. But they cannot do it, so they move on and delegate these things to the building 7 part of their brain.

Of course even if the wind friction could explain the entirety of this power, we’d still have to have satisfying reasons for the consistency and power of the winds at sea level. But for those who are able to put together some draft back-of-the-envelope calculations to these things, from home and using only satellite data, I think its a worthy undertaking, even if you could never hope to complete the task, without funding and a team from crossover specialties. We don’t want to leave these things as eternal mysteries of life and elephants in the room. What could make the water just seem to act strange and go around and around like that? Think of the machinery that it would take to replicate such a thing artificially? The length and power of the flow of the Circumpolar Current, makes the Amazon rivers efforts, look feeble indeed. This is even the case although the Amazon has gravity working in its favour . No gravity to help out the Circumpolar Current. Plus cold salty water is far more viscous than warm fresh water. The mystery compounds on itself.

The Gulf stream is called a thermohaline current. The Gulf Stream has heat and saltiness differentials working for it. So people assume they have that powerful North-South energy explained and they think there is nothing more to see here. Well you know. I have my doubts about that also. But those explanations, or partial explanations, aren’t there for the Circumpolar Current. So I think its a serious mystery under the paradigms that hold sway at the moment. And I think it ought to be dwelt upon and looked at with much curiosity.

From Elsewhere:

 

Has anyone ever walked through a fog, or walked up a tall mountain through a cloud and seen these micro-droplets that the cloud is made out of? I think most of you have. And I have. And I’ve watched these micro-drops very closely. The great poet said “I’ve looked at clouds from both sides now. From up and down. But still somehow….”

I’ve walked through these clouds. The little drops don’t rub up against each-other if its static electricity we want. I’ve seen them. They keep their distance as if repelled by an “unknown” (ho ho) force. But the other thing is to be a greenhouse gas you want to capture that thermal energy and force it to drop lower

What greenhouse substance would be better than micronised water droplets to actually create warming? If no secondary force is acting upon them they ought to release their enthalpy and drop. Hot tiny droplets reversing the commonplace understanding that heat rises and in doing so acting like a greenhouse gas ought ot.

That would make micronised liquid water the ideal greenhouse substance. If the water vapour could release its energy of evaporation or itsenthalpy and the micro-water could drop down down down down only to evaporate before it hit the ground. Then that would be an idealised greenhouse gas because it would capture the thermal joules and pull them downward.

But thats not what we see is it? And if we don’t see that and the droplets suspend, could it be that they are in non-cloud form accepting electrical energy in an inbetween way? Neither as an insulator, thus creating stormy winds, nor as a fantastic conductor, thus solving the problem without drama. What if a column saturated air, without a cloud in sight, is leading to that sort of electrical conduction that creates heat.

But further to this, this is one of these special situations where I do in fact agree with greenhouse. For complicated reasons. I agree with water vapour causing greenhouse warming in the tropics because in the tropics a new parcel of saturated air doesn’t necessarily go straight up. But Cycles presented me with a situation of an whole column of saturated air that was akin to my model of the tropics. So the same assumptions would apply and we could pay some level of greenhouse effect in that situation if we aren’t being bloodyminded.

Why do the micro-drops suspend? See the whole situation we need to think far more deeply about. When I have to backpeddle, by my own admission, 70% I’m not saying that Cycles is 100% right and I’m 100% wrong. I’m saying that I was being blinkered and we need to think far more deeply about this situation.

We have to say that the water is suspended (if the droplets are indeed suspended) by electrical means. In every last case. But it can be particularly obvious in big black clouds with these huge juicy drops that they are suspended by electrical energy. Because after the first lightning and the thunderclap, often thats when gravity takes over and the suspended anti-gravity water falls down on our heads.

If airborne micro-drops of water actually fell in accordance with gravity, and yet caught enough energy to evaporate before they got to the ground then airborne micro-drops would seem to be the ideal greenhouse substance. They could drift down even though they were warmer than the air surrounding them. Are there even smaller droplets than those in the fog that act this way and toggle between water and water vapour? I don’t think anyone is looking. Tiny water droplets don’t seem to fall even on average. They defy gravity. White clouds defy gravity. If there wasn’t electrical energy involved the droplets in the white clouds would have to fall. Just on average and even if very slowly. They seem to be suspended by the earths electric field. Which means they must be ionised or aligned in some way on the molecular level, which means they could conduct.

I had always thought that evaporation was the ultimate air conditioner. Say for example if we spent a thousand years hydrating the continent. And we had trees around the water features and grasses throughout the inland. We would never get a heatwave. Because that hot wind blowing in from the north-west would pick up all this transpired water from the plants and there would be a cooling effect so that the temperature would likely never break 38 degrees. So in this situation the water vapour is a cooler. Definitely during the day it is a cooler. We must remember that the Siddons moon information tells us that we don’t have a heat anomaly that greenhouse is needed to fill. My step-daugters grandfather built a restaurant near Chiang Mai and towering above this restaurant is shade-cloth where water runs down but evaporates before it hits the ground. The refrigerant effect of this is astonishing. Its almost unbelievable. Like practicing witchcraft.

So the situation is that where a parcel of water vapour-laced air has special buoyancy the water vapour is a cooling factor. A refrigeration factor. But consider the tropics or somewhere that the air is already reliably full of water vapour? Then that parcel of air doesn’t necessarily rise. Or if it does another one just like it falls. Lets say we can break the ecological niches down to about 14 separate niches. My understanding is that the paleo record is telling us that when the planet heats up its as though the equatorial tropical zone is expanding and pushing the other 13 niches north and south, and up the mountains. Its as though everything is being driven by the tropical zones expanding and shrinking. If a parcel of water vapour does not head upwards its no longer acting like a refrigerant.

Cycles has talked about the idea of a whole column of saturated air but with no clouds as being this powerful heating situation which he says is all about greenhouse. If I’m interpreting right. Well you’d have to admit that if the whole column of air, and lets imagine it goes almost all the way up to the top of the troposphere …. well then the refrigeration effect of evaporation is going to be nullified just like my thinking of the tropics. So I think when this happens you get rapid buildup of joules. I don’t think its just about greenhouse. I think better conduction of electrical energy from the stratosphere will be a part of the story.

But there is this thing about temperature. Temperature tells us the direction of thermal energy transfer, and how much more energy that parcel of air can absorb. So that 36 degree air in the tropics probably has more thermal energy imbedded than 50 degree air in the Sahara. I say this because of the latent heat of evaporation. But the tropics can keep absorbing energy because of the lower apparent temperature than in the desert. And the desert heat will be lost quickly overnight.

I think its this schizophrenic function of water vapour that is driving everything. Notice that when the planet is warmer the severity of storms is less severe. I think thats the water vapour helping conduction of electrical energy so that the voltage difference between the ionosphere and the deep earth isn’t working itself out as much in terms of kinetic energy. So what I’m saying is that water vapour is usually a net cooler. But its bipolar. Its a bipolar situation and any runaway global warming could only be about expanding the tropics. As powerful as the joule buildup would be we are talking about a situation where even more of the planet is unlikely to break 38 degrees. Because thats how the tropics works. Thats how water vapour works. When the planet heats up the tropics don’t heat up. They just expand.

Understanding how the climate works both currently and historically means coming to grips with the schizophrenic role of water vapour. That would be my take-home story. If we are not getting this idea we are not really understanding the situation.

Here is where Lizzie beat up on me over at Catallaxy.

Old Tom Below Parr, you are a prize idiot.

First you rabbit on at the end of the Corona Virus Thread saying that a virus by itself can’t do much damage. Hello? Smallpox, Rubella for a foetus, HIV, Measles, Ebola and so on. The 1918 Influenza virus and plenty of others too didn’t need much help. In 1918, some people died within 24 hours or less of showing haemorrhagic viral attack in a variety of body tissues and systems, or just from total viral shock without haemorrhagic expression. The consensus now is that only one transmuting virus was responsible too. And then there were the secondary pathogenic attacks.

Lizzie sure knows her epidemiology doesn’t she? I think she had a big responsible job in epidemiology at a university when she was a bit younger. After doing a man’s job for so long I suppose that could be one of the reasons she feels a need to over-emphasise her femininity on Catallaxy.  I don’t think thats a bad thing at all. Quite the contrary; I wish there was more of it.  Its just something to note.

Yeah I can see I wasn’t careful enough when I talked about this one on Catallaxy and I can see why I was raising peoples temperature by playing down just how powerful a single virus can be. Unfortunately Sinclair wiped my somewhat cavalierly written posts on this matter so I cannot reproduce them and show where I was being a bit ridiculous. And also clarifying what I meant.

Lets number down what she has mentioned.

1. Smallpox.
2. Rubella for a foetus
3. HIV
4. Measles
5. Ebola
6. Spanish Flu

My argument, perhaps poorly worded, goes a bit like this; If you are tanked up on Iodine and vitamin D beforehand. If you have some selenium now,  and more stashed away when this virus hits town. And if you have a great big hoard of liposomal vitamin C, plus someone looking after you, no one virus ought to be able to do you in. I’m not too much disagreeing with Lizzie really. Because I admit that I was sounding a bit cavalier, pointing to the possibility of a beat-up, or alternatively of a more serious biological attack going on.

So what I’m saying is, since I was trying to put three hypotheses on the table (beat-up, biological warfare, and real organic disease) that made me play up a fundamental weakness of a single virus.

My argument is that a virus lacks the genetic sophistication to create serious poisons. But earlier I had admitted that this virus could really fuck you up because it goes after your lungs.

A single virus can usually only kill you if it throws you into a vicious cycle. 

I am particularly susceptible to that sort of lurgy that gets in your lungs. Since I spent 22 years breathing in flour in my workplace. So I, least of all, want to be unprepared for this particular nasty when it rolls out here in the winter. Once you get into a vicious cycle, where you can never sleep, because lying down makes you cough so much you can barely breath. So you cannot sleep. So you cannot fight off the virus. So you die.

I don’t usually believe in drugs and medications. But here I make an exception. I go straight for the cough suppressant so my lungs don’t get too irritated by the coughing. I also mentioned that we need to have our beds tilted upward. So that lying down doesn’t bring on the coughing. I’ve got ten ways to get rid of viruses from the rest of my body. But they are so hard to get rid of from some of these extremities like the lungs. Or the skin. Or if the nasty bacterial infection is hiding in a rotten tooth. Very easy to clear a body of the virus proper.  Very hard to chase the virus beyond these extremities.

So lets go through these examples mentioned by hyper-feminine Lizzie.

1. Smallpox. Kills through bleeding. Hard to get it out of your skin. You have to kind of pay that one. But notice it died out once we had a lot of flush toilets and clean drinking water. Viruses can be very infectious. But you’d have to wonder about how infectious this one is with hand-washing, flush toilets,  a lot of sunlight coming into houses, and sterilised water. Because as deadly as it was,  smallpox turned out to have short legs, once hygienic conditions were improved

How would smallpox go if we had high vitamin D levels, liposomal vitamin C on hand, cranked up on iodine which I’m slipping into my beer right now? Plenty of Selenium? How would we go? We will never know. Though it appears to have cut through scantily clad (one imagines) North American Indians? We don’t have the details. We can make no sound judgement.  I suspect that if we had all these things on the fly smallpox would stay local.

2. Rubella for the foetus. So you want Mum to have caught Rubella already. Caught and recovered from Rubella before she gets pregnant.  To the rest of us Rubella is pretty harmless. In fact we want to have had it. Of course a developing foetus can be knocked off its path of sound development very easily.

3. HIV Sorry Lizzie I don’t have to pay that one. While I may be exaggerating when I say that viruses don’t have the genetic sophistication to put down a well looked after person (with a string of caveats) not so with HIV. Because these retro-viruses are even so much more primitive than normal viruses. Nope. Thats not a valid example. The cells they infect last no more than about six weeks. The best that a retro-virus could do on one of these cells,  is to add a tiny amount of extra overhead to the immune system.

4. Measles.  Case in point.  Supposing Mum was never vaccinated and she got measles as a kid.  Suppose you get breast-fed until you are 4.  You stop being breast-fed.  You catch measles.  Mum watches you closely and looks after you.  Your immune system only gets better.

5. Ebola. Attacks the skin. Pretty hard to get rid of these skin infections. But notice. It never really spread to the rich countries. If you had all these things on hand that I’ve already listed the repair job would be almost as fast as the damage being done.

Looks like its a poor country problem. I think people who were looked after in the way I suggest would pull through pretty quickly. Unless you get into a vicious cycle.

Note how once your skin was peeling off then you open yourself to other problems. Thats the vicious cycle I’m talking about. Its probably only when these secondary problems are opened up that this would cause too much of a problem for you, which would make it too hard to fight off the initial virus. Without the secondary problems, and with selenium and liposomal vitamin C,  I imagine the virus would be gone in a short period of time, like most viruses.

6.  Spanish Flu.  Thought to be neither Spanish nor flu nor even a single virus.  Biological warfare so it doesn’t really count.

I am not saying that Lizzie didn’t win that argument with a good clean knockdown. Its just that my reasoning was spread over several comments. She probably read one poorly worded screed, and as an expert in the field,  she would have been mortified.
As I said Sinclair wiped out all my comments. But I advanced a similar argument over at opinion-dominion. I don’t think Steve has gotten rid of it. So I’ll reproduce it here:

“Probably Soon is over there using Chinese slang terms as deep cover. Chinese people can see us as smelling bad being as we tend to be more hairy than they are and they can smell the dairy products on our sweat. I’m here sweating all the time and probably clear through until April. Believe me I shower often. But if I want friends who are Asian girls all over again I better be perfumed up because those girls have noses like bloodhounds.

Nonetheless there is a scintilla of truth to the idea that the Chinese can be a breeding ground for new viruses and I believe its to do with part of their country being deficient in Selenium. Though today the deep state will be trying all manner of population control and ways to sicken all of us in general, and the Chinese people particularly.

We all better have a good stash of selenium, super high dose vitamin D from overseas. And if you can afford it a big box of lipisomal vitamin C. Also start building up the iodine in your system and maybe even think about colloidal silver. Think about leaning your bed uphill in some way, so that you can breathe better if you can barely get out of bed for a few days.

Viruses don’t normally have the genetic sophistication to hurt people all that much. But this one appears to be going straight for the lungs. If you can keep breathing you will pull through.”

I hope this post isn’t as flippant sounding as the one that lead to Lizzie beating me senseless in an argument. I’m not saying viruses cannot kill people. Clearly they can. But if you prepare and you have people who care about you, you should pull through.

Okay so you see why I looked authentically a bit silly this time around at Catallaxy.  And it may seem that me getting beat up is what this post is about.

Thats not the issue.  I want you to read this one over and over and over.  Because I’ve included everything you need to face down this lurgy, should it make it here in an organic sense, this winter.  Just read it again and find out about everything I want you to do to beat this thing.  Not excluding tilting your bed.  And you’ll get through it.  Even if you have but one single family member continually washing sheets and carrying soup.